Gazprom - Naftogaz Ukrainy Dispute: Business or Politics?


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Case Details:

Case Code : BENV003
Case Length : 15 Pages
Period : 1991 - 2006
Pub Date : 2006
Teaching Note :Not Available
Organization : Gazprom, Naftogaz
Industry : Energy
Countries : Europe, Russia

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This case study was compiled from published sources, and is intended to be used as a basis for class discussion. It is not intended to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of a management situation. Nor is it a primary information source.

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Excerpts Contd...

Political Aspect

Analysts felt that apart from economic aspects, there were many political aspects to the dispute. Some claimed that the sudden increase in gas prices - more than four times what Ukraine was paying, was the Russian way of punishing Ukraine's newly elected government for pursuing pro-West policies and for deciding to join NATO and the EU. Others alleged that Russia wanted to discredit the government in the parliamentary elections to be held in March 2006. But some analysts disagreed with the view that Russia was punishing Ukraine. They felt that with Ukraine deciding to leave the Russian orbit of influence and becoming a market-oriented economy to join the EU, Russia's obligation to maintain the Ukrainian economy by supplying heavily subsidized gas was also void.

If Ukraine itself wanted to move to a market-oriented economy and be a part of the EU and demanded a raise in transit prices to European levels for Russian gas going through Ukraine, how could it ask for the continuation of the Russian gas imports at heavily subsidized prices, they asked...

Outlook

The Gazprom - Naftogaz dispute brought to light EU's dependence on Russian gas. With a quarter of EU's gas consumption needs met by imports from Russia, EU member countries realized the need to diversify their energy imports. While a part of their gas requirements were met by member countries' domestic production, for a major share of its consumption it had to depend on imports. In terms of imports, Russia accounted for 40%, Algeria - 30% and Norway - 25%. EU members were also planning to build more storage tanks and increase the capacity of the existing ones to utilize them in times of emergency...

Exhibits

Exhibit I: Gazprom's Gas Exports to Western Europe in BCM (2000 - 2004)
Exhibit II: Gas Exports to Europe Transiting through Ukraine and Other Countries
Exhibit III: Gazprom's Production and Financial Details
Exhibit IV: World Proved Natural Gas Reserves by Region as of 01.01.2004
Exhibit V: Gazprom's Alternative Options for Gas Exports
Exhibit VI: Gazprom's 2006 Tariffs per 1,000 Cubic Metres of Gas


 

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